Resurrect Capitalism!

March 21, 2009

Cut Spending!!!

Filed under: Obama, bailouts, debt, politics, socialism — Tags: , — admin @ 8:16 am

In the Bush years Democrats made a lot of hay about the size of the Federal deficit and cumulative debt levels.  I agree with those criticisms and think that it is irresponsible to increase government debt levels unless you have an overwhelmingly good reason to do so.

In 2004 then Representative Ramm Emanuel criticized Bush’s deficit in 2004 when it was a “paltry” $375B.

“The deficit is going to be a symbol of their credibility problem, and the budget is going to be the document we use” to make that argument, said Rep. Rahm Emanuel, D-Ill., a member of the House Budget Committee

In between the “stimulus” plan, endless bailouts, and ludicrously large budget plans Obama’s debt levels are unfortunately going to dwarf the Bush deficits.

President Barack Obama’s budget would produce $9.3 trillion in deficits over the next decade, more than four times the deficits of Republican George W. Bush’s presidency, congressional auditors said Friday.

Apparently Mr. Emanuel would not call this a “credibility problem”.  We now see how hollow those Bush budget criticisms were.  I think the true numbers would be worse than this as the budget assumptions do not assume plunging tax revenues, which is almost certain to happen.

I said previously that Obama is a dangerous man because he has never had to test his ideas against the constraints of reality.  He is an unconstrained idealist.  This is pretty evident with his reaction to the gargantuan debt levels his plans will saddle America with:

But Obama insisted on Friday that his agenda is still on track. “What we will not cut are investments that will lead to real growth and prosperity over the long term,” Obama said. “That’s why our budget makes a historic commitment to comprehensive health care reform. That’s why it enhances America’s competitiveness by reducing our dependence on foreign oil and building a clean energy economy.”

This guy seriously thinks that a “clean energy economy” (effectively subsidies on renewable energy and massive taxes on cheaper energy sources) is going to cause economic growth.  He seriously thinks that massive government control of healthcare (more massive than the nearly 50% it already controls in America) is going to be a big growth boost.

Time to scale back the agenda, Mr. Obama.  We are all limited in what we can do, no matter how badly we want it, and you are no exception.  How much debt are we going to saddle our children with???  Fortunately it looks as though Democrats in Congress are not going to just follow his agenda.  Let’s hope.

March 17, 2009

Growth of the Command Economy

Filed under: bailouts, politics, socialism — Tags: — admin @ 9:01 pm

The bad news keeps piling up for Capitalists.  The central planners in our government are throwing their weight around more forcefully than ever.

Hybrid automobile sales have fallen off a cliff.  This February the total number of hybrid sales were 2/3 less than in April of 2008.  The market is clearly providing feedback: hybrids are not in demand.  However, thanks to government intrusion into the auto industry via bailouts automakers now feel compelled to make hybrids to appease politicians.

…automakers feel they have little choice but to make more hybrids. Though car buyers are losing interest, politicians are pushing them as key to reducing U.S. dependence on foreign oil and limiting the global-warming gases Supply & Demand: Dead in the Auto Industry?that cars emit into the atmosphere.

In January, President Obama called on the industry to “thrive by building the cars of tomorrow” and prepare for federal and state regulations that could push average fuel economy above 40 miles per gallon by 2020.

“The automakers are in the situation of needing to pacify politicians that are in the position to bail them out with expensive fuel-efficient cars,” said Rebecca Lindland, auto analyst with IHS Global Insight. “But shouldn’t it be more about satisfying the needs of the American consumer?

I couldn’t have said it any better myself.  Obviously the only way the automakers will regain financial health is by making vehicles that people actually want to pay for.  Instead they are making vehicles that socialist politicians like.  “Supply and demand” has been transformed to “bailout and command”.

Let this be a lesson for CEO’s on the brink: accepting bailouts is the financial equivalent of selling your soul.  You buy yourself some breathing time but you get a massive ball and chain clamped to your ankle.  I feel no pity for executives who think they are taking the easy way out.

This is a chilling thought but the seeds of a command economy are planted.

March 16, 2009

Stimulus Rage

Filed under: bailouts, capitalism, good news, turmoil — Tags: — admin @ 11:07 am

I’m pretty pissed off about the bailouts, “stimulus” plans, and other government distortions of the economy as of late.  I’m happy to learn that many other people are as well.  There have been a number of “tea parties” to protest these socialistic government plans.  The biggest one I’ve heard of so far was in Cincinnatti this Sunday

About 4000 people showed up.  This is pretty good for a conservative oriented protest that spread through word of mouth. 

Wish I was there...

Wish I was there...

 

Some great quotes from the article:

Five-year-old Kaylee McChesney posed for pictures. Her tongue-in-cheek “Where’s my free pony?” sign attracted lots of attention.

Her mom, Lisa, said she’s concerned that Kaylee’s generation will be left on the hook for “today’s excessive government spending.”

It’s going to overshadow her entire life. As a parent, I think this is unconscionable. Now is the time to do something,” said McChesney, of Mason.

There were a few isolated stimulus supporters in the crowd. 

Hoisting a “Spend, baby, spend” sign in the air, she said she agreed with the stimulus plan, although she knew Sunday she was far outnumbered.

“This is the worst economic crisis of our lives. We’ve got to do something.”

This perfectly demonstrates the panic-stricken thinking behind the bailouts.  “Things are really bad and we’ve got to do something”.  Why do “we” have to do anything?  Why does “doing something” have to involve trillions of dollars that our children and grandchildren will be paying off all their lives?  Why is it that the government allegedly has the ability to allocate capital better than freely interacting individuals in times of crisis?  You can’t reason with someone like this stimulus supporter. 

What those of us who support capitalism need to promote is the notion that government can’t and shouldn’t even attempt to solve many problems that it currently tries to fix.  In the muddled thinking of the stimulus supporter the government can fix anything it wants.  It wouldn’t matter if you showed her statistics of how poorly stimulus plans have fared historically.  It wouldn’t matter if you showed her how economies survived and improved without explosions of government spending. 

We need to somehow uproot the notion that government is the answer for all of life’s woes.  How to do that, I do not know.

March 7, 2009

Rewarding Irresponsibility

Filed under: bailouts, injustice, socialism — Tags: , , — admin @ 9:13 pm

The Obama administration is intent on rewarding the irresponsible members of our society.  This includes irresponsible borrowers and irresponsible lenders.  Resentment is building up among the responsible.

Lenders who steered away from reckless lending are now being forced to bailout their reckless peers.  As you might guess they are not happy about this prospect.

TCF Financial Corp., the Wayzata, Minnesota-based bank that never made a subprime loan and hasn’t lost money since 1995, is asking why it should help clean up the mess made by Wall Street.

“I’m kind of bitter,” said William Cooper, chief executive officer of the 448-branch bank, adding that over the years TCF has invested about $1 billion in the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp.’s fund that guarantees bank deposits. “We pay for the excesses of our competitor over and over again.”

The FDIC fees keep increasing.  If we were capitalists the bankers like William Cooper would be scooping up market share as the irresponsible giants stagnated or failed.  Instead we allow those most responsible for this economic crisis to survive, even profit from being so incompetent that they would cause politically unacceptable fallout if they failed.

In every segment of our economy those who pull their own weight and live with the consequences of their actions are forced to socialize the losses of the irresponsible.  This is NOT RIGHT!  This is a grave injustice that will have devastating long-term consequences.

Another important observation here: Obama and other socialists are insisting that our economy has no life.  But institutions like TCF Financial Corp-  not a small lender by any means-  is alive and well without any government support.  Actually government support  is hurting it as TCF is forced to subsidize its rivals.

This is not capitalism that we are living under.

February 16, 2009

Financing Socialism

Filed under: bailouts, socialism — admin @ 3:59 pm

Though our politicians and economists don’t act like it, these socialistic bailouts have a price.  In the past decade China has amassed many hundreds of billions of dollars of treasury bonds.  Japan and many other foreign nations have likewise purchases American federal government debt.

But all of this is going to change.  The rest of the world is feeling the effects of this depression and other nations do not have the funds to support American debt.

So we’re actually going to have to pay our own debt this time.  These bailouts are going to be an extremely heavy burden going forward.  Spending has skyrocketed while tax revenues are plummeting.  Spending needs to plummet as well but of course our politicians believe that deficit spending is something for nothing.

“The U.S. may have trouble funding” its deficit, certainly at yields anywhere close to today’s rock-bottom levels, Ryding says. Notably, he is concerned that foreigners - who’ve bought as much as two-thirds of our debt in recent years - will be doing “much less purchasing of U.S. Treasuries.”

The issue is not so much foreigners’ desire to punish America for its profligate ways or to exert geopolitical influence, but simply because they won’t have the funds to do it. This is specifically a problem for petro-states as oil has collapsed and major Asian economies that previously relied on the U.S. export market to build surpluses, which they previously “recycled” back into the U.S. via purchases of Treasuries and government agency debt.

“Is there a domestic buyer [ready] to step forward?”, the economist asks. “Only at higher yields.”

It its for these and related reasons Ryding is worried about inflation, as detailed here, and why Moody’s is warning about the risks to the U.S. government’s hallowed Aaa rating.

There is no viable way to finance these bailouts.

If only our politicians would let the market clear itself of the excesses of the financial system.

February 11, 2009

The Rage Simmers

Filed under: bailouts, politics — Tags: — admin @ 10:20 pm

This might as well be me…

I don’t think politicians realize the anger that most Americans have about these bailouts.  We are alllowing a social worker with a law degree and a tax cheat to saddle our children and grandchildren with a ghastly amount of debt (assuming we actually pay it).  Disgusting and despicable.

February 10, 2009

This Isn’t Monopoly Money

Filed under: bailouts — admin @ 11:17 pm

Our central econnomic planners in the federal government today allocated the spending of $3T-  yes, 3 trillion dollars- in an attempt to counter economic decline.

On a single day filled with staggering sums, the Obama administration, Federal Reserve and Senate attacked the deepening economic crisis Tuesday with actions that could throw as much as $3 trillion more in government and private funds into the fight against frozen credit markets and rising joblessness.

I’m stunned at the magnitude of these bailout / stimulus efforts.  We’ve already spent trillions of dollars to no avail- so what’s a few trillion more?  Politicians are not looking ahead at all.  What are the concrete goals of spending $3T dollars and how will its effectiveness be judged? I doubt they even have an idea.

The bailouts are extremely irresponsible and I don’t see how they will ever be paid off. Well, there is one way- the Zimbabwe solution.

future denominations of American dollars?

future denominations of American dollars?

I don’t think our politicians realize how much anger they are creating over these bailouts.  When the bills for these bailouts are due how many Americans will be willing to pay the tab?  Think about that.

In news that is 100% uncorrelated with the above, gold bullion sales have skyrocketed  (bullion is the real physical metal and not just an account with “gold” in it).  In January gold bullion sales were about 4 times the total bullion sales for all of 2008.

January 28, 2009

Rediscovering Limited Government Roots?

Filed under: bailouts, economics, politics — Tags: , — admin @ 8:06 pm

I’m of the belief that bailouts are ultimately worse than the disease they are allegedly curing.  The reasons are too numerous and outside the scope of this post.

Fortunately some folks in the government are starting to think that way, too.

Last Thursday the House of Representatives voted to block the release of a second allottment of TARP bailout bucks, $350B worth.  Unfortunately the bailout is still going to go through due to clauses in the initial TARP bill but the “NO” is symbolic and loudly heard.

This is following the usual cyclical pattern: Republicans give lip service to limited government when they are not in power.  When they get back in power they become consumed with keeping power and spend as bad or worse than Democrats, betraying their avowed limited government principles.  I was really disappointed that Republicans in the Bush years expanded government spending and deficits so dramatically.  They had a genuine opportunity to pin down the size and scope of government but they blew it in a big way.

I sure hope Obama is not going to be able to breeze his ~ $1T pork-laden “stimulus” plan through this Congress.  Regardless of its merits $335M for STD prevention IS NOT ECONOMIC STIMULUS.

January 23, 2009

The Biggest Socialists in America

Filed under: bailouts, business — Tags: — admin @ 9:15 pm

I rarely agree with Michael Moore but one observation of his was spot-on: CEOs of big corporations are on the whole much more socialistic than the average man on the street.  Of course the socialism of CEOs goes only one way.  Your tax dollars are socialized to subsidize their losses.  The public trough is to be used to finance the risks they want to reap the rewards of but don’t want to be responsible for.  Rules and regulations are used to block competitors or bludgeon them over the head.  CEOs use the law not as a way of defending their rights but as a revenue enhancement tool.

I am reminded of this by the revelation that John Thain, former CEO of Merril Lynch, used an estimated $4B in taxpayer bailout money to pay bonuses to his executives.  A company on taxpayer funded life support has no right to pay billions of dollars in bonuses.  That didn’t matter to Thain.  Apparently he didn’t want his top employees to jump ship to competitors.  Thain thinks the American taxpayer has to pay for Merril Lynch to remain competitive.  What planet is this man living on?

CEOs are under immense pressure to deliver returns to shareholders.  How they get the returns is of little consequence to them.  What they do not want is honest and fair competition.  They want to cripple or strangle their competitors by any means necessary.  If they can take out their competitors through legislation it doesn’t bug them in the slightest.

Anytime you hear businesses promoting some new legislation or regulations with high-minded slogans you must be cautious.  There is always a profit motive with CEOs.  Always.  ALWAYS!!!

They will dress up their motives in fluffy rhetoric about social responsibility, being good stewards of the environment, etc.  But underlying these empty words is the desire to improve the bottom line by any means necessary.

Hedge fund mannager T. Boone Pickens is a great example of the socialist CEO.  He invested $2B in wind energy projects when the price of oil was well over $100/barrel.  Now that fossil fuel prices have cratered he is going to lose his shirt and he wants his losses to be subsidized.  He has unveiled the “Pickens Plan” which calls for us to (among other things) generate 22% of our electricity from wind energy.  All he wants is $150B of taxpayer dollars to salvage his $2B in mal-investment.

billionaire socialist PIG

T. Boone Pickens: billionaire SOCIALIST pig

GE is a big supporter of the “Pickens Plan”, as they make the wind turbines that this plan would use.  GE CEO Jeff Immelt says that our federal government needs to quickly increase support for green energy.  Naturally it’s all about making the world a cleaner, better place.

CEO socialist PIG

Jeffrey Immelt: CEO of GE and SOCIALIST pig

Of course the Detroit three CEOs spring to mind as well.  Under capitalism these outfits would go bankrupt and restructure their crippling labor agreements.  Instead their CEOs begged Congress for their multi-billion dollar bailouts (more to come, to be sure) so that they wouldn’t have to live with a bankruptcy on their resumes.

Everyone knows that it takes hundreds of millions of dollars, on average, to produce a pharmaceutical that meets FDA approval (these guys claim the cost is more than $800M!).  You might think that drug company CEOs would be lobbying to streamline some of these regulations.  But big pharmaceutical companies like the FDA approval process because it dramatically stifles competition.  A promising upstart company can and often will be destroyed by one FDA approval failure.  The big companies can survive the rejections.  Another reason big pharmaceutical CEOs like FDA rules is because they allow legal risk to be sidestepped.

CEOs are very short sighted.  All they have been looking at is the next quarter (one of the main contributing factors to this recession we are in).  Fundamentally this short-sightedness stems from investors demanding high returns: if CEOs don’t produce good results early and often they are out.  Hedge funds, pension funds, and other institutional investors NEED high returns on investment to stay viable.  I am optimistic that this recession will change investor psychology somewhat.  We shall see.

One thing for sure: if there is ever a way for large corporations to use the law to funnel cash into their pockets, they will try it!

UPDATE:  As if on cue, this article appeared the day after my post.  Google has donated to the Obama campaign in a big way and now they expect to bend the rules in their favor.

First, it wants to expand high-speed Internet access so people can use its Web services more often. It also is pushing for so-called network neutrality: prohibitions on telecommunications companies charging websites for faster delivery of their content.

Google wants people to have high-speed internet access to its websites…  but it wants YOU to pay for this.  It also wants to use a disproportionate share of bandwidth without paying a disproportionate amount of the costs.   Google is particularly masterful in hiding their profit motives in terms of idealistic motives and phrases.  As a result I trust them less than I trust most corporations.

January 15, 2009

Zombie Banks: Why Bailouts Fail

Filed under: bailouts, bubbles, economics — Tags: , , — admin @ 12:17 pm

A good article about a relatively small bailout recipient, Independent Bank of Michigan.  It has received a “mere” $72M in bailout bucks but is a good microcosm of what went wrong in our economy. 

Like many other lenders Independent Bank went overboard with lending in the Great Credit Bubble, granting loans too freely.  They priced risk too cheaply.  Now they are reeling from the consequences of their poor lending decisions and defaults are destroying their balance sheet. 

As of the end of September, the bank was burdened by $115 million in bad debts, or nearly 5 percent of its overall loan portfolio, compared with less than 1 percent in 2005. Each of these failed projects has something essential in common, [senior V.P. of Independent Bank] Lightbody said.

“We didn’t step back and look at the big picture, asking ourselves, are we really doing the right thing with this loan?” he said. “Everyone was making a lot of money.”

Unfortunately it looks like the best course of action for 144 year old Independent Bank is to go under.  This is the downside to capitalism:  you make a sufficiently large number of bad decisions and you are gone.  While unpleasant in the short term it is ultimately a highly effective feedback mechanism. 

Of course our politicians and economists don’t trust capitalism and instead gave a relatively large cash infusion to Independent Bank.  [I don't blame Independent Bank- if I was drowning I wouldn't care who threw me a life preserver or what strings were attached to it. ]

They received bailout bucks so they would start lending again, but that hasn’t happened:

“It is like if you are in an airplane and the oxygen mask comes down,” said Stefanie Kimball, the bank’s chief lending officer. “First thing you do is put your own mask on, stabilize yourself.”

This is not what the Treasury Department had in mind when it started this program, saying it would give the nation’s “healthy banks” enough money to start lending again, so that people could buy homes and businesses could invest and create jobs, thereby invigorating a disintegrating economy.

So Independent Bank isn’t lending much.  They don’t want to lend freely as they have seen the error of their ways and are suffering the consequences (that is, they have experienced a psychology change from “euphoria” to “despair”).  Due to the state of the economy they are even less inclined to lend.  Besides which they need the bailout funds just to stay solvent and cover losses on loans they’ve already made. 

The stimulus is really just life support.  This bank isn’t doing what banks are supposed to do (lend prudently).  Independent Bank is basically a zombie bank.  The important thing to realize is that Independent Bank wasn’t particularly bad compared to its peers. 

Taxpayer money that would otherwise go to more productive uses is now going to keep these Zombie banks alive.  This has all been done before.  The healthy are burdened to keep the vegetables on life support. 

Our government might drag us into a full-blown depression.  If they really wanted to help they could eliminate some cost barriers.  Tax cuts would be great but for the overwhelming deficit.  Overly burdensome regulations could be lifted and it would stimulate the economy while costing essentially nothing from a public finance standpoint.  I will explore this in more detail in the future.

Older Posts »

Powered by WordPress